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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Stevenage

Bristol Rovers
0 - 1
Stevenage


Moore (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (12')
White (36'), List (49'), Thompson (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Blackpool
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage

It is hard to see Bristol Rovers winning on Monday considering they come into the clash in such poor form, but they will at least take confidence from their draw with Wrexham. Stevenage were strong from a defensive perspective last time out, but given their struggles in the final third, they are unlikely to score more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage
31.38% (0.574 0.57) 26.58% (-0.226 -0.23) 42.04% (-0.35 -0.35)
Both teams to score 51.27% (0.919 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.53% (1.072 1.07)53.47% (-1.074 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01% (0.898 0.9)74.99% (-0.901 -0.9)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (0.95399999999999 0.95)31.5% (-0.956 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (1.091 1.09)67.89% (-1.093 -1.09)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (0.303 0.3)25.14% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (0.417 0.42)59.86% (-0.42 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 31.38%
    Stevenage 42.03%
    Draw 26.57%
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.38%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.92% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.139 0.14)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.55% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.041999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.47% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.03%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Stevenage

Bristol Rovers
63.6%
Draw
36.4%
Stevenage
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Stevenage
3-0
Bristol Rovers
List (34'), Roberts (54'), Reid (88')
Freestone (65'), Roberts (85')

Lindsay (22'), Wilson (26'), McCormick (71'), Sousa (85')
Lindsay (53')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
2-3
Bristol Rovers
Thomas (29'), Martin (62'), Evans (67')
Evans (21'), Taylor (22'), Conteh (86')
Conteh (90+5')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Stevenage
Martin (83')
Finley (37'), Evans (46'), Collins (57'), Crama (84'), Taylor (88'), Gibbons (90+2')
Reid (40')
Thompson (33'), Evans (34'), Freeman (45+2'), Wildin (61'), Burns (73')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Bostwick (25')
Finley (36'), Anderson (50'), Anderson (54'), Collins (74')
Coutts (21'), Finley (67'), Anderson (90')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Stevenage

Harries (50')
Lines (88'), Norris (90+6')
Vancooten (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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