Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.