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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Blackpool

Stevenage
1 - 3
Blackpool

Piergianni (77')
Kemp (36'), Butler (51'), Freestone (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Apter (56', 63', 68')
Baggott (75'), Casey (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Stevenage and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBlackpool
33.48% (0.324 0.32)27.94% (0.235 0.23)38.58% (-0.558 -0.56)
Both teams to score 47.77% (-0.63 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81% (-0.82100000000001 -0.82)58.19% (0.818 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.649 -0.65)78.84% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (-0.202 -0.2)32.47% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (-0.226 -0.23)69% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.72200000000001 -0.72)29.26% (0.72 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (-0.898 -0.9)65.22% (0.89700000000001 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 33.48%
    Blackpool 38.57%
    Draw 27.93%
StevenageDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.48%
1-1 @ 13.13% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.292 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 11.67% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.18% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 38.57%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Blackpool
0-0
Stevenage
Evans (52'), Offiah (64'), Tyrer (84')
Thompson (33')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Stevenage
1-0
Blackpool
Forster-Caskey (85')
Evans (46'), Butler (74'), Piergianni (89')

Kouassi (45'), Dembele (79'), Husband (85')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Blackpool
3-0
Stevenage
Rhodes (38'), Dale (60'), Hamilton (78')
Carey (43')

Presley (7'), Thompson (13'), Vancooten (53')
Mar 14, 2017 7.45pm
Blackpool
1-0
Stevenage
Cullen (15' pen.)
Payne (83'), Daniel (89'), Delfouneso (90')

Franks (62'), Pett (88'), Wilkinson (90')
Dec 10, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0


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