Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 13.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.