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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Bristol Rovers

Wrexham
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

James (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moore (32')
Thomas (49'), Forde (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Wrexham and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 2-0 Bristol Rovers

Wrexham may have dropped points last time out with a poor offensive display against Wigan, but they will be motivated by their home crowd to avoid slipping into the playoffs. Additionally, Rovers have been particularly shocking on the road this season, and they may struggle to score given the Red Dragons' impressive defensive record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 13.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawBristol Rovers
65.5% (1.138 1.14) 21.1% (-0.835 -0.84) 13.41% (-0.298 -0.3)
Both teams to score 43.99% (1.585 1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.12% (2.608 2.61)50.88% (-2.605 -2.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24% (2.248 2.25)72.76% (-2.245 -2.25)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (1.241 1.24)14.77% (-1.237 -1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.98% (2.32 2.32)43.02% (-2.317 -2.32)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.61% (1.127 1.13)48.39% (-1.125 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.49% (0.806 0.81)83.52% (-0.804 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 65.49%
    Bristol Rovers 13.41%
    Draw 21.1%
WrexhamDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 13.67% (-0.85 -0.85)
2-0 @ 13.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.139 0.14)
3-0 @ 8.33% (0.21 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.339 0.34)
4-0 @ 3.98% (0.264 0.26)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.277 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.189 0.19)
5-0 @ 1.52% (0.161 0.16)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.148 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 65.49%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.779 -0.78)
2-2 @ 3.44% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.1%
0-1 @ 5.19% (-0.383 -0.38)
1-2 @ 3.6% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 13.41%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Bristol Rovers

Wrexham
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Bristol Rovers
9.1%
33
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Wrexham
Omochere (86')
Thomas (45+4'), Lindsay (57'), Wilson (90+6')
Lee (18')
Palmer (45+4'), O'Connell (48'), McClean (90+6'), Fletcher (90+6')
Dec 2, 2014 7.45pm
Sep 9, 2014 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Wrexham
Monkhouse (34')
Lockyer (31'), Mansell (37'), Taylor (54'), Sinclair (83')

Hudson (33'), Jennings (68')
Carrington (64')
Oct 28, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Llewellyn (22'), Craddock (90')
Williams (13')
Llewellyn (65')

Haldane (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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