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Wrexham AFC
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Bristol Rovers

Wrexham
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

James (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moore (32')
Thomas (49'), Forde (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Wrexham and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 13.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawBristol Rovers
65.5% (1.138 1.14)21.1% (-0.835 -0.84)13.41% (-0.298 -0.3)
Both teams to score 43.99% (1.585 1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.12% (2.608 2.61)50.88% (-2.605 -2.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24% (2.248 2.25)72.76% (-2.245 -2.25)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (1.241 1.24)14.77% (-1.237 -1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.98% (2.32 2.32)43.02% (-2.317 -2.32)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.61% (1.127 1.13)48.39% (-1.125 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.49% (0.806 0.81)83.52% (-0.804 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 65.49%
    Bristol Rovers 13.41%
    Draw 21.1%
WrexhamDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 13.67% (-0.85 -0.85)
2-0 @ 13.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.139 0.14)
3-0 @ 8.33% (0.21 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.339 0.34)
4-0 @ 3.98% (0.264 0.26)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.277 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.189 0.19)
5-0 @ 1.52% (0.161 0.16)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.148 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 65.49%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.779 -0.78)
2-2 @ 3.44% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.1%
0-1 @ 5.19% (-0.383 -0.38)
1-2 @ 3.6% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 13.41%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Bristol Rovers

Wrexham
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Bristol Rovers
9.1%
33
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Wrexham
Omochere (86')
Thomas (45+4'), Lindsay (57'), Wilson (90+6')
Lee (18')
Palmer (45+4'), O'Connell (48'), McClean (90+6'), Fletcher (90+6')
Dec 2, 2014 7.45pm
Sep 9, 2014 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Wrexham
Monkhouse (34')
Lockyer (31'), Mansell (37'), Taylor (54'), Sinclair (83')

Hudson (33'), Jennings (68')
Carrington (64')
Mar 24, 2007 3pm
Oct 28, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Llewellyn (22'), Craddock (90')
Williams (13')
Llewellyn (65')

Haldane (42')
rhs 2.0


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