Brasileiro | Gameweek 23

Sep 17, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Raimundo Sampaio

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 0
Botafogo

Paulinho (81', 81')
Mariano (45'), Mariano (45'), Zaracho (90+1'), Zaracho (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Di Placido (28'), Di Placido (28')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Botafogo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Botafogo 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, September 3 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Botafogo
51.74% ( 0.35)	27.11% ( 0.04)	21.15% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 41.94% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.5% (

-0.48)

61.5% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.63% (

-0.36)

81.36% (

0.36)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.96% (

-0.05)

24.04% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.69% (

-0.07)

58.31% (

0.07)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.22% (

-0.71)

44.78% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.24% (

-0.58)

80.76% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 51.73%

Botafogo 21.15%

Draw 27.09%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 15.34% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 51.73%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.48% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.15%