Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 13.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.