Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
Catanzaro	Draw	Spezia
30.49% ( 0.02)	26.96% ( -0)	42.54% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.72% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.71% (

0.02)

55.29% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.49% (

0.01)

76.51% (

-0.01)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.92% (

0.02)

33.07% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.33% (

0.02)

69.67% (

-0.02)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29% (

-0)

25.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.37%

60.63%

Score Analysis

Catanzaro 30.49%

Spezia 42.54%

Draw 26.96%

Catanzaro	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.49%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 11.55% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 7.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.54%