May 1, 2025 2.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Stadio Alberto Picco

Rachid Kouda 22'
Luca Vignali 79'

Ajdin Hrustic 52'
Tommaso Corazza 84'

Spezia vs Salernitana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

D
D
W
L
D
W

Serie B

D
D
W
L
D
W

Last game

Apr 25, 2025 11.30am

Frosinone 2 - 2 Spezia

Goals scored

65

Top scorer

Francesco Pio Esposito

Salernitana

All competitions

W
W
L
L
D
W

Serie B

W
W
L
L
D
W

Last game

Apr 25, 2025 2.00pm

Salernitana 3 - 1 Cosenza

Goals scored

37

Top scorer

Simy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result

Spezia 58.36% ▲ (+0.18)

Draw 24.39% ▼ (-0.05)

Salernitana 17.24% ▼ (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score:

43.13% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.25% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 56.74% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 22.31% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 77.69% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 4.5 9.69% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 4.5 90.3% ▲ (+0.02)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 80.67% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 0.5 19.33% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 1.5 48.91% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 1.5 51.09% ▼ (-0.09)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 53.46% ▼ (-0.20)

Under 0.5 46.53% ▲ (+0.20)

Over 1.5 17.87% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 1.5 82.13% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Spezia 58.35%

Draw 24.39%

Salernitana 17.24%

Spezia

1-0 @ 14.78% ▲ (+0.05)

2-0 @ 12.14% ▲ (+0.06)

2-1 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.05)

3-1 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.01)

4-0 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.03)

4-1 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3.62%

Total : 58.35%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.3% ▼ (-0.03)

0-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.02)

2-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 0.54%

Total : 24.39%

Salernitana

0-1 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.03)

1-2 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.04)

0-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.03)

1-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 2.3%

Total : 17.24%

Head to Head

Oct 19, 2024 2.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT Stadio Arechi

Petar Stojanovic 15'
Andres Tello 54'
Giulio Maggiore 55'
Gian Marco Ferrari 90'+3'

Edoardo Soleri 55'
Edoardo Soleri 55'
Nicolo Bertola 73'
Luca Vignali 90'+5'

Aug 12, 2024 7.45pm

3

3

HT : 0 2

FT Stadio Arechi

Mamadou Coulibaly 34'
Yayah Kallon 53'
Boulaye Dia 68'
Boulaye Dia 90'+3'

Nicolo Bertola 39'
Pietro Candelari 43'
Edoardo Soleri 45'
Edoardo Soleri 59'
Salvatore Elia 82'

Apr 2, 2023 2.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Stadio Alberto Picco

Eldor Shomurodov 70'

Mattia Caldara 43' (OG)

Oct 22, 2022 2.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Stadio Arechi

Pasquale Mazzocchi 48'

Feb 7, 2022 7.45pm

2

2

HT : 2 2

FT

Simone Verdi 3'
Simone Verdi 16'
Lys Mousset 30'
Federico Fazio 53'
Ivan Radovanovic 90'+1'

Rey Manaj 12'
Kelvin Amian 15'
Daniele Verde 30'
Jakub Kiwior 88'
Aurelien Nguiamba 90'+4'

Oct 16, 2021 2.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT

David Strelec 51'
Emmanuel Gyasi 62'
Viktor Kovalenko 76'
Rey Manaj 90'

Simy 39'
Joel Obi 53'
Mamadou Coulibaly 60'
Luca Ranieri 80'

Form Data

Frosinone 2 - 2 Spezia

Mantova 2 - 2 Spezia

Spezia 2 - 0 Sampdoria

Spezia 0 - 1 Brescia

Cesena 0 - 0 Spezia

Spezia 3 - 2 Pisa

Salernitana 3 - 1 Cosenza

Salernitana 2 - 1 Sudtirol

Juve Stabia 1 - 0 Salernitana

Salernitana 1 - 2 Palermo

Bari 0 - 0 Salernitana

Salernitana 1 - 0 Modena