Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Salernitana
58.36% ( 0.18)	24.39% ( -0.04)	17.24% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 43.13% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.25% (

-0.04)

56.74% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31% (

-0.03)

77.69% (

0.03)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.67% (

0.05)

19.33% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.91% (

0.09)

51.09% (

-0.09)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.46% (

-0.2)

46.53% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.87% (

-0.15)

82.13% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Spezia 58.35%

Salernitana 17.24%

Draw 24.39%

Spezia	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 14.78% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 58.35%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.39% Total : 17.24%