Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.