Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Palermo
41.07% ( -0.62)	27.03% ( 0.4)	31.9% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 50.07% (

-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.9% (

-1.51)

55.1% (

1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.65% (

-1.26)

76.35% (

1.26)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

-1.02)

26.4% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

-1.38)

61.56% (

1.38)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.03% (

-0.62)

31.97% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.57% (

-0.71)

68.43% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 41.07%

Palermo 31.9%

Draw 27.02%

Salernitana	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.07%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.9%