Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Palermo
40.14% ( -0.09)	28.71% ( -0.03)	31.14% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 44.99% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.63% (

0.14)

61.36% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.73% (

0.11)

81.26% (

-0.11)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09% (

0.02)

29.91% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.99% (

0.02)

66.01% (

-0.02)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.18% (

0.16)

35.81% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.41% (

0.17)

72.59% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 40.13%

Palermo 31.14%

Draw 28.71%

Sampdoria	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 40.13%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.71%	0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 31.14%