Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.