Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Sampdoria
34.17% ( 0.03)	28.04% ( -0)	37.79% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.55% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.5% (

0.01)

58.5% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.92% (

0.01)

79.08% (

-0.01)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.82% (

0.02)

32.18% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.34% (

0.03)

68.66% (

-0.03)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.11% (

-0.01)

29.89% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.02% (

-0.01)

65.98% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 34.17%

Sampdoria 37.78%

Draw 28.04%

Sudtirol	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.17%	1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.78%