Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.