Serie B | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 at 4.15pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Spezia Calcio logo

Catanzaro
0 - 1
Spezia


Scognamillo (42'), Petriccione (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pio Esposito (18')
Wisniewski (42'), Esposito (90')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 1-2 Catanzaro
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Serie B

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Spezia
Saturday, December 14 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-0 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Spezia in this match.

Result
CatanzaroDrawSpezia
33.63% (0.093000000000004 0.09)28.97% (0.052 0.05)37.39% (-0.145 -0.15)
Both teams to score 44.84% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.18% (-0.159 -0.16)61.81% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.4% (-0.117 -0.12)81.6% (0.117 0.12)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)34.27% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)70.97% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21% (-0.17 -0.17)31.79% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.78% (-0.195 -0.2)68.22% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 33.62%
    Spezia 37.39%
    Draw 28.97%
CatanzaroDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.25% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 33.62%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.89% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.97%
0-1 @ 12.48% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.39%

Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 23
Spezia
1-1
Catanzaro
Jagiello (34')
Bertola (83'), Moro (90+4')
Iemmello (13')
Situm (26'), Biasci (32'), Veroli (54'), Petriccione (73'), Vandeputte (81')
Aug 30, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Catanzaro
3-0
Spezia
Biasci (52'), Nikolaou (59' og.), Pompetti (73')
Scognamillo (31'), D'Andrea (90+5')
Oliveri (90+4')

Amian (29'), Bandinelli (44'), Dragowski (90+5')