Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Brescia logo

Catanzaro
2 - 1
Brescia

Biasci (43'), Bonini (90+8')
Brighenti (80'), Compagnon (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bjarnason (21')
Verreth (30'), Bjarnason (49'), Dickmann (56'), Lezzerini (90+7')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Brescia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 3-3 Catanzaro
Saturday, November 30 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 1-1 Bari
Saturday, November 30 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
CatanzaroDrawBrescia
42.19% (-0.425 -0.42)26.84% (0.201 0.2)30.96% (0.223 0.22)
Both teams to score 50.29% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.34% (-0.713 -0.71)54.65% (0.71 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01% (-0.597 -0.6)75.98% (0.595 0.59)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.544 -0.54)25.6% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.744 -0.74)60.48% (0.741 0.74)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (-0.208 -0.21)32.41% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08% (-0.237 -0.24)68.92% (0.233 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 42.19%
    Brescia 30.96%
    Draw 26.83%
CatanzaroDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 11.3% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.19%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.3% (0.227 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.204 0.2)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.96%

Head to Head
May 18, 2024 7.30pm
Catanzaro
4-2
Brescia
Iemmello (26', 120+2'), Donnarumma (90+6'), Brignola (105')
Scognamillo (60')
Galazzi (8'), Moncini (52')
Moncini (67'), Iemmello (90+4')
Mar 16, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 30
Brescia
1-1
Catanzaro
Borrelli (52')
Cistana (45'), Paghera (63')
Biasci (45+1')
Petriccione (72'), Brighenti (76')
Dec 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Catanzaro
2-3
Brescia
Ambrosino (10'), Vandeputte (13')
Stoppa (72')
Bjarnason (47'), Bisoli (58'), Bianchi (90+1')
Dickmann (50'), Olzer (90+2'), Bisoli (90+7')