Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.