Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.