Serie B | Gameweek 20
Dec 29, 2024 at 4.15pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Salernitana

Catanzaro
1 - 0
Salernitana

Iemmello (57')
Petriccione (13'), Pittarello (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruggeri (21'), Stojanovic (52'), Jaroszynski (83'), Wlodarczyk (90+7')
Colantuono (14')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Salernitana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cosenza 1-1 Catanzaro
Thursday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Frosinone 2-0 Salernitana
Thursday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Catanzaro in this match.

Result
CatanzaroDrawSalernitana
49.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.57% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)24.9% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.04% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.98% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)53.02% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.39% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)74.61% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)21.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)54.43% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)36.31% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05)73.1% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 49.52%
    Salernitana 24.9%
    Draw 25.56%
CatanzaroDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 11.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.74% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0019999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 49.52%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 24.9%

Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
0-0
Catanzaro
Soriano (53'), Tello (88'), Torregrossa (90+1')
Brighenti (15'), Scognamillo (55')
Aug 11, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Salernitana
3-1
Catanzaro
Kiyine (22' pen.), Giannetti (45', 73')
Karo (44')
Mangni (79')
Urso (19'), Kanoute (42'), Pinna (72')