Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Carrarese
47.48% ( 1.41)	25.98% ( -0.04)	26.54% ( -1.37)

Both teams to score 50.24% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.55% (

-0.66)

53.45% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.02% (

-0.56)

74.97% (

0.56)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

0.37)

22.51% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.92% (

0.54)

56.08% (

-0.54)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.84% (

-1.45)

35.16% (

1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.09% (

-1.55)

71.91% (

1.55)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 47.48%

Carrarese 26.54%

Draw 25.97%

Salernitana	Draw	Carrarese
1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.01% Total : 47.48%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.07% Total : 26.54%