Serie B | Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
2 - 0
Carrarese

Cauz (42'), Palumbo (80')
Defrel (37'), Gagno (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Giovane (69'), Imperiale (78')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Carrarese.

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 1-0 Modena
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Serie B

Carrarese

All competitions
Last Game: Carrarese 0-0 Juve Stabia
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.

Result
ModenaDrawCarrarese
48.91% (0.291 0.29)27.42% (0.097000000000001 0.1)23.68% (-0.382 -0.38)
Both teams to score 43.8% (-0.596 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.47% (-0.581 -0.58)60.53% (0.585 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.36% (-0.44 -0.44)80.64% (0.44500000000001 0.45)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08% (-0.121 -0.12)24.92% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (-0.171 -0.17)59.55% (0.174 0.17)
Carrarese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.34% (-0.69799999999999 -0.7)41.66% (0.703 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.87% (-0.617 -0.62)78.14% (0.622 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Modena 48.9%
    Carrarese 23.68%
    Draw 27.41%
ModenaDrawCarrarese
1-0 @ 14.42% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 10.02% (0.147 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.64% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 48.9%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.38% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.09% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 23.68%