Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Mantova	Draw	Sampdoria
37.25% ( 0.84)	26.78% ( 0.19)	35.96% ( -1.02)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.5% (

-0.77)

53.49% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.99% (

-0.65)

75.01% (

0.66)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.22% (

0.13)

27.78% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.64% (

0.16)

63.36% (

-0.15)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46% (

-0.98)

28.54% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.67% (

-1.24)

64.33% (

1.25)

Score Analysis

Mantova 37.24%

Sampdoria 35.96%

Draw 26.78%

Mantova	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.24%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.96%