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-
Arkadiusz Reca
45'+1'
-
Salvatore Elia
64'
-
Petko Hristov
73'
-
Diego Falcinelli
90'+3'
-
Simone Trimboli
6'
-
Davide Possanzini
7'
-
Fabrizio Brignani
12'
-
Alessandro Debenedetti
18'
-
Leonardo Mancuso
24'
-
Fabrizio Brignani
30'
-
David Wieser
70'
-
Matteo Solini
74'
Spezia vs Mantova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result
Spezia
62.1%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
22.02%
▲
(+0.16)
Mantova
15.88%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
47.1%
▼
(-0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.07%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 2.5
49.93%
▲
(+0.70)
Over 3.5
28.08%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 3.5
71.92%
▲
(+0.63)
Over 4.5
13.37%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 4.5
86.63%
▲
(+0.43)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
84.45%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
15.55%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
55.51%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 1.5
44.49%
▲
(+0.50)
Mantova Goals
Over 0.5
55.77%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 0.5
44.23%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 1.5
19.69%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 1.5
80.31%
▲
(+0.41)
Score analysis
Spezia
62.1%
Draw
22.02%
Mantova
15.88%
Spezia
1-0
@
12.8%
▲
(+0.25)
2-0 @ 11.91% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 62.1%
2-0 @ 11.91% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 62.1%
Draw
1-1
@
10.44%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.02%
0-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.02%
Mantova
0-1
@
5.61%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 15.88%
1-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 15.88%