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Serie B | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
1 - 1
Mantova

Falcinelli (90+3')
Reca (45+1'), Elia (64'), Hristov (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Debenedetti (18')
Trimboli (6'), Brignani (12'), Mancuso (24'), Wieser (70'), Solini (74')
Possanzini (7'), Brignani (30')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Mantova.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Catanzaro 0-1 Spezia
Saturday, December 21 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Mantova

All competitions
Last Game: Mantova 3-1 Frosinone
Saturday, December 21 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 15.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawMantova
62.1% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)22.02% (0.15 0.15)15.88% (-0.054 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.1% (-0.561 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.07% (-0.692 -0.69)49.93% (0.695 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.08% (-0.621 -0.62)71.92% (0.624 0.62)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.261 -0.26)15.55% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)44.49% (0.495 0.49)
Mantova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.77% (-0.489 -0.49)44.23% (0.492 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.69% (-0.403 -0.4)80.31% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 62.1%
    Mantova 15.88%
    Draw 22.02%
SpeziaDrawMantova
1-0 @ 12.8% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 11.91% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.39% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 62.1%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.192 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 5.61% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 15.88%

How you voted: Spezia vs Mantova

Spezia
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Mantova
14.3%
7