Serie B | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Danilo Martelli
Frosinone logo

Mantova
3 - 1
Frosinone

Bragantini (24'), Trimboli (39'), Aramu (45')
Brignani (27'), Bragantini (52'), Festa (60'), Wieser (71')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Begic (55')
Darboe (13'), Monterisi (41'), Begic (66'), Bracaglia (90'), Tsadjout (90+4')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Mantova and Frosinone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mantova

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 2-2 Mantova
Saturday, December 14 at 2pm in Serie B

Frosinone

All competitions
Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, December 14 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mantova would win this match.

Result
MantovaDrawFrosinone
36.44% (0.0019999999999953 0)27.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)35.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.88% (0.029000000000003 0.03)57.11% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01% (0.021999999999998 0.02)77.99% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Mantova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)30.02% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)66.15% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (0.016000000000005 0.02)30.38% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42% (0.018999999999998 0.02)66.58% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Mantova 36.43%
    Frosinone 35.86%
    Draw 27.69%
MantovaDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 10.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 36.43%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0029999999999992 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 35.86%