Serie B | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 at 4.15pm UK
Stadio Danilo Martelli

Mantova
0 - 0
Modena


Radaelli (35'), Aramu (51'), Solini (71'), Panizzi (81')
FT

Cauz (27'), Caldara (32')
Cotali (77')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Mantova and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mantova

All competitions
Last Game: Catanzaro 2-2 Mantova
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Serie B

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Cosenza 1-1 Modena
Friday, November 22 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Modena had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
MantovaDrawModena
40.88% (-0.067 -0.07)28.15% (-0.012 -0.01)30.98% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.48% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.52% (0.072000000000003 0.07)59.49% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.16% (0.055 0.05)79.84% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Mantova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)28.57% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.37% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.07% (0.099999999999994 0.1)34.93% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.33% (0.104 0.1)71.67% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Mantova 40.87%
    Modena 30.97%
    Draw 28.15%
MantovaDrawModena
1-0 @ 12.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.49%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 30.97%