Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Danilo Martelli

Mantova
2 - 3
Pisa

Mancuso (28', 54')
Cella (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Angori (8'), Rasmussen (12'), Moreo (66')
Marin (43'), Toure (49'), Rasmussen (65'), Calabresi (89')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Mantova and Pisa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mantova 0-0 Modena
Saturday, November 30 at 4.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Pisa 2-2 Cosenza
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Mantova win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.

Result
MantovaDrawPisa
34.64% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)28.65% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)36.71% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 45.83% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.36% (0.104 0.1)60.64% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.28% (0.079000000000001 0.08)80.72% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Mantova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (0.040999999999997 0.04)32.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (0.046000000000003 0.05)69.54% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (0.081999999999994 0.08)31.62% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (0.096 0.1)68.03% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Mantova 34.63%
    Pisa 36.71%
    Draw 28.64%
MantovaDrawPisa
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.63%
1-1 @ 13.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 12% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 36.71%

rhs 2.0


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