Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sampdoria in this match.