Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 46%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 24.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carrarese in this match.