Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio dei Marmi

Carrarese
1 - 0
Palermo

Shpendi (77')
Guarino (73'), Shpendi (79'), Cicconi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ceccaroni (70')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Carrarese and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions
Last Game: Salernitana 4-1 Carrarese
Sunday, December 1 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 2-0 Spezia
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carrarese in this match.

Result
CarrareseDrawPalermo
39.12% (-0.15 -0.15)29.05% (-0.004999999999999 -0)31.82% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 44.26% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.64% (0.042000000000002 0.04)62.35% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18% (0.030000000000001 0.03)82% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Carrarese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)31.01% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)67.31% (0.077999999999989 0.08)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (0.13500000000001 0.14)35.84% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (0.138 0.14)72.62% (-0.14 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Carrarese 39.12%
    Palermo 31.82%
    Draw 29.05%
CarrareseDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 13.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 39.12%
1-1 @ 13.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.05%
0-1 @ 11.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 31.82%

rhs 2.0


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