Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Sudtirol
61.69% ( -0.26)	22.56% ( 0.08)	15.75% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 45.25% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.73% (

-0.01)

52.26% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.03% (

-0)

73.96% (

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.51% (

-0.09)

16.49% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.79% (

-0.16)

46.21% (

0.16)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.19% (

0.25)

45.81% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.43% (

0.19)

81.57% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 61.68%

Sudtirol 15.75%

Draw 22.55%

Sassuolo	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 12.27% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 61.68%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.55%	0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.35% Total : 15.75%