Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Palermo
52.86% ( 0.2)	26.09% ( 0.07)	21.05% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 44.35% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.72% (

-0.51)

58.28% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.09% (

-0.4)

78.9% (

0.4)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.83% (

-0.13)

22.17% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.43% (

-0.19)

55.56% (

0.18)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.98% (

-0.59)

43.01% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.7% (

-0.5)

79.3% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Spezia 52.85%

Palermo 21.05%

Draw 26.08%

Spezia	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 14.36% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.85%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.02% Total : 21.05%