Serie B | Gameweek 21
Jan 12, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera

Palermo
2 - 0
Modena

Brunori (36'), Le Douaron (56')
Gomes (25'), Nikolaou (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dellavalle (63'), Santoro (88')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Cittadella 2-1 Palermo
Sunday, December 29 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 0-0 Sudtirol
Sunday, December 29 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 45.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Modena had a probability of 26.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.

Result
PalermoDrawModena
45.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.73% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)26.34% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 45.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.1% (0.011999999999993 0.01)59.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)80.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.08% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)38.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.4% (0.009999999999998 0.01)75.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Palermo 45.93%
    Modena 26.34%
    Draw 27.71%
PalermoDrawModena
1-0 @ 13.62%
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 45.93%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 10.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 26.34%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 9
Modena
2-2
Palermo
Gliozzi (48'), Caldara (85')
Santoro (25'), Di Pardo (38'), Zaro (90+2')
Verre (34'), Insigne (45+1')
Insigne (71'), Lund (89')
Jan 20, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 21
Palermo
4-2
Modena
Segre (8'), Brunori (35'), Soleri (88', 90+6')
Brunori (45+2')
Battistella (31'), Abiuso (59')
Ponsi (7'), Tremolada (22'), Pergreffi (38'), Strizzolo (76'), Abiuso (84')
Oct 7, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 9
Modena
0-2
Palermo

Manconi (54'), Duca (69')
Oukhadda (23')
Henderson (47'), Mancuso (90+3')
Lucioni (44'), Coulibaly (60'), Di Francesco (69')
Mar 17, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Palermo
5-2
Modena
Tutino (25'), Soleri (47'), Verre (56'), Aurelio (59'), Vido (79' pen.)
Strizzolo (4', 30')
Oct 29, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 11
Modena
0-2
Palermo
Brunori (9' pen.), Valente (45+2')