Serie B | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 at 4.15pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
1 - 0
Pisa

Caso (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Angori (26'), Rus (38'), Caracciolo (41'), Toure (75')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Pisa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reggiana 0-1 Modena
Saturday, December 14 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Pisa 2-0 Bari
Friday, December 13 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Modena in this match.

Result
ModenaDrawPisa
36.5% (0.07 0.07)29.61% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)33.88% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 43.12% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.09% (0.07 0.07)63.9% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.88% (0.050000000000001 0.05)83.11% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (0.081000000000003 0.08)33.44% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (0.091999999999999 0.09)70.07% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.21% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.96% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Modena 36.5%
    Pisa 33.88%
    Draw 29.61%
ModenaDrawPisa
1-0 @ 12.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.5%
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 11.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.61%
0-1 @ 12.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 33.88%

Head to Head
Feb 28, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 27
Pisa
2-2
Modena
Mlakar (42'), Canestrelli (84')
Valoti (22'), Caracciolo (82')
Valoti (60')
Abiuso (48'), Strizzolo (74')
Santoro (39'), Battistella (50'), Palumbo (68'), Duca (78'), Strizzolo (90+3')
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Modena
2-0
Pisa
Tremolada (4'), Strizzolo (90+4')
Palumbo (51'), Zaro (66')

Beruatto (43'), Masucci (86')
Hermannsson (34')
Mar 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 29
Modena
1-0
Pisa
Oct 23, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 10
Pisa
4-2
Modena
Gliozzi (45+3' pen.), Torregrossa (74', 90+9' pen.), Masucci (82')
Bonfanti (19'), Magnino (84')
rhs 2.0


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