Serie B | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera

Palermo
1 - 0
Bari

Le Douaron (41')
Brunori (45+1'), Segre (61'), Nedelcearu (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maita (65'), Pucino (84')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Palermo
Saturday, December 21 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 0-1 Sudtirol
Saturday, December 21 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Bari had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palermo in this match.

Result
PalermoDrawBari
41.17% (0.050999999999995 0.05)28.06% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)30.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.66% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.79% (0.055 0.05)59.22% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37% (0.042999999999999 0.04)79.64% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72% (0.055000000000007 0.06)28.28% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36% (0.067 0.07)64% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.32% (0.0039999999999978 0)71.68%
Score Analysis
    Palermo 41.16%
    Bari 30.77%
    Draw 28.06%
PalermoDrawBari
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 41.16%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.88% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 30.77%

Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Palermo
3-0
Bari
Ranocchia (44'), Ceccaroni (71'), Segre (80')
Di Francesco (67'), Graves (84'), Vasic (89')

Acampora (26'), Pucino (73')
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bari
0-0
Palermo
Di Cesare (50'), Sibilli (51'), Maiello (67'), Benali (70'), Brenno (90+3'), Menez (90+2')
Maita (50'), Di Cesare (66')
Marconi (24'), Corini (25'), Brunori (64'), Vasic (73'), Insigne (75')
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Palermo
1-0
Bari
Marconi (82')
Aug 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Bari
1-1
Palermo
Cheddira (68')
Maita (24'), Di Cesare (77')
Valente (37')
Buttaro (18'), Valente (50')
Marconi (86')
Apr 30, 2018 7.30pm
Palermo
1-1
Bari
La Gumina (80')
Chochev (47'), Rolando (88')
Nene (89')
Nene (31'), Empereur (36'), Balkovec (67'), Marrone (76'), Basha (88')
Marrone (85'), Henderson (90')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!