Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.