Serie B | Gameweek 20
Dec 29, 2024 at 4.15pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato

Cittadella
2 - 1
Palermo

Vita (44'), Masciangelo (90+1')
Casolari (27'), Salvi (32'), D'Alessio (53'), Masciangelo (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lund (55')
Nikolaou (11'), Henry (87'), Buttaro (90+4')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cittadella

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-2 Cittadella
Thursday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 1-0 Bari
Thursday, December 26 at 5pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
CittadellaDrawPalermo
35.71% (0.247 0.25)28.33% (0.032 0.03)35.96% (-0.277 -0.28)
Both teams to score 46.82% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.55% (-0.106 -0.11)59.45% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.18% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)79.81% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (0.107 0.11)31.65% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.93% (0.121 0.12)68.06% (-0.119 -0.12)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (-0.23 -0.23)31.49% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.12% (-0.264 -0.26)67.88% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Cittadella 35.7%
    Palermo 35.95%
    Draw 28.32%
CittadellaDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.62% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 35.7%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 9.97% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.32%
0-1 @ 11.51% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.95%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 12
Palermo
0-1
Cittadella

Verre (60'), Gomes (75')
Pandolfi (90')
Rabbi (9'), Salvi (84'), Pandolfi (90+1'), Vita (90+3')
Jan 13, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 20
Cittadella
2-0
Palermo
Pandolfi (26'), Vita (80')
Branca (90+5')

Stulac (30')
Stulac (50')
Nov 12, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Palermo
0-1
Cittadella

Segre (90+5')
Pandolfi (90+7')
Amatucci (8'), Salvi (56'), Branca (90+5'), Pandolfi (90+9')
Mar 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 29
Cittadella
3-3
Palermo
Maistrello (3', 74'), Antonucci (23' pen.)
Di Mariano (33' pen., 64'), Brunori (45+2')
Oct 23, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 10
Palermo
0-0
Cittadella