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Serie B | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
3 - 3
Modena

Verreth (34'), Cistana (50'), Magnino (83' og.)
Dickmann (41'), Olzer (60')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gerli (16'), Santoro (45'), Bozhanaj (88')
Duca (72'), Cauz (81'), Palumbo (90')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brescia

All competitions
Last Game: Salernitana 0-0 Brescia
Friday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 1-0 Pisa
Saturday, December 21 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Modena had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
BresciaDrawModena
40.25% (-0.491 -0.49)29.27% (0.344 0.34)30.48% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 43.29% (-0.843 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.64% (-1.068 -1.07)63.35% (1.067 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.27% (-0.777 -0.78)82.72% (0.776 0.78)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (-0.822 -0.82)30.84% (0.82 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88% (-0.977 -0.98)67.12% (0.976 0.98)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.6% (-0.47300000000001 -0.47)37.4% (0.47300000000001 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.81% (-0.469 -0.47)74.19% (0.468 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Brescia 40.24%
    Modena 30.47%
    Draw 29.26%
BresciaDrawModena
1-0 @ 13.56% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 40.24%
1-1 @ 13.34% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 11.53% (0.45 0.45)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.26%
0-1 @ 11.34% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 30.47%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 20
Modena
1-2
Brescia
Tremolada (52' pen.)
Cotali (24'), Battistella (36'), Strizzolo (45+1'), Cauz (54')
Zaro (5' og.), Galazzi (30')
Dickmann (32'), Andrenacci (67'), van de Looi (82'), Huard (86'), Bisoli (90+2')
Oct 24, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Brescia
0-1
Modena

Lezzerini (88'), Papetti (90+9'), Bjarnason (90+6')
Zaro (90')
Palumbo (4'), Guiebre (55'), Pergreffi (75')
Feb 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 24
Brescia
0-1
Modena
Falcinelli (79' pen.)
Sep 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 5
Modena
1-3
Brescia
Bonfanti (18')
Aye (24'), Moreo (61'), Bianchi (90+9' pen.)
rhs 2.0


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