Serie B Gameweek 22
Jan 19, 2025 4.15pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Stiven Shpendi 34' yellowcard
  • Filippo Oliana 37' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Schiavi 52' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Schiavi 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rachid Kouda 19'
  • goal Francesco Pio Esposito 20'
  • yellowcard Francesco Pio Esposito 34'
  • goal Francesco Pio Esposito 45'+3'
  • goal Rachid Kouda 50'
  • goal Salvatore Elia 58'
  • yellowcard Luca Vignali 86'

Carrarese vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2025 7.30pm
Pisa 2 - 1 Carrarese
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mattia Finotto

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 12, 2025 2.00pm
Spezia 1 - 1 Juve Stabia
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Francesco Pio Esposito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 36.36%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 31.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.38%) and 2-1 (6.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.25%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (13.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result

Carrarese 36.36% (+0.18)
Draw 31.98% (+0.06)
Spezia 31.66% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.07% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 29.1% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 70.9% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 12.19% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 87.8% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 4.25% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 95.75% (+0.05)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5 62.62% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37.38% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 25.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 74.16% (-0.04)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 59.2% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 40.8% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 22.62% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 77.38% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Carrarese 36.35%
Draw 31.98%
Spezia 31.66%
Carrarese
1-0 @ 15% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.38% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 6.62% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.42% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.35%
Draw
0-0 @ 15.25% (+0.09)
1-1 @ 13.45% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 31.98%
Spezia
0-1 @ 13.67% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.13% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 31.66%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 2.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Petko Hristov 19' yellowcard
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 25' goal
  • Salvatore Esposito 27' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Reca 42' yellowcard
  • Salvatore Esposito 49' goal
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 62' goal
  • Petko Hristov 83' goal
  • goal Leonardo Cerri 6'
  • yellowcard Samuel Giovane 23'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Cerri 29'
  • yellowcard Devid Bouah 65'
  • yellowcard Filippo Oliana 72'
  • goal Filippo Oliana 75'