Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 36.36%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 31.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.38%) and 2-1 (6.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.25%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (13.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Carrarese	Draw	Spezia
36.36% ( 0.17)	31.98% ( 0.05)	31.66% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 37.07% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.1% (

-0.15)

70.9% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.19% (

-0.1)

87.8% (

0.09)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.62% (

0.03)

37.38% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.83% (

0.03)

74.16% (

-0.03)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.2% (

-0.27)

40.8% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.62% (

-0.24)

77.38% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Carrarese 36.35%

Spezia 31.66%

Draw 31.98%

Carrarese	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 15% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 36.35%	0-0 @ 15.25% ( 0.09) 1-1 @ 13.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 31.98%	0-1 @ 13.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 31.66%