Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 2-1 (7%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (13.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Spezia
35.69% ( 0.32)	30.54% ( 0.22)	33.77% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 40.72% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.23% (

-0.69)

66.76% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.89% (

-0.48)

85.1% (

0.47)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.48% (

-0.16)

35.51% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.72% (

-0.16)

72.28% (

0.16)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.14% (

-0.77)

36.85% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.35% (

-0.78)

73.64% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Bari 35.69%

Spezia 33.76%

Draw 30.52%

Bari	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.09% Total : 35.69%	1-1 @ 13.52% 0-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.52%	0-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.85% Total : 33.76%