Serie B | Gameweek 21

Jan 13, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Pisa
2 - 1
Carrarese

Canestrelli (22'), Caracciolo (87')
Marin (65'), Moreo (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Finotto (61')
Oliana (90+1')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Pisa and Carrarese.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pisa

All competitions

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-1 Pisa
Sunday, December 29 at 6.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Carrarese

All competitions

Last Game: Carrarese 2-0 Cesena
Sunday, December 29 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 52.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 20.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.

Result
Pisa	Draw	Carrarese
52.55% ( 0.34)	26.93% ( 0.01)	20.53% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 41.63% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.51% (

-0.36)

61.49% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.64% (

-0.27)

81.36% (

0.27)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.33% (

-0)

23.67% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.22% (

-0.01)

57.78% (

0.01)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.54% (

-0.6)

45.46% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.7% (

-0.48)

81.3% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Pisa 52.54%

Carrarese 20.53%

Draw 26.92%

Pisa	Draw	Carrarese
1-0 @ 15.5% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 52.54%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.47% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.7% Total : 20.53%