Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Juve Stabia win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palermo in this match.