Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 46.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 26.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Sassuolo
46.83% ( 0.31)	26.8% ( 0.09)	26.36% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 47.72% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.34% (

-0.58)

56.66% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.38% (

-0.46)

77.62% (

0.46)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.81% (

-0.11)

24.19% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.48% (

-0.15)

58.52% (

0.15)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.95% (

-0.65)

37.05% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.16% (

-0.65)

73.84% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Spezia 46.83%

Sassuolo 26.36%

Draw 26.8%

Spezia	Draw	Sassuolo
1-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.83%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.8%	0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.77% Total : 26.36%