Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.