Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 40.73%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 29.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.24%) and 1-2 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Reggiana win it was 1-0 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.