Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.33%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (12.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.