Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 63.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Juve Stabia win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.