Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juve Stabia win with a probability of 45.46%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juve Stabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juve Stabia would win this match.