Serie B | Gameweek 28
Mar 2, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Brescia logo

Palermo
1 - 0
Brescia

Pohjanpalo (87' pen.)
Blin (28'), Ceccaroni (57'), Magnani (83'), Vasic (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bisoli (17'), Borrelli (64'), Papetti (90+3')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Brescia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Cosenza 0-3 Palermo
Sunday, February 23 at 2pm in Serie B

Brescia

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 0-0 Sudtirol
Sunday, February 23 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palermo in this match.

Result
PalermoDrawBrescia
50.09% (-0.348 -0.35)26.4% (0.050000000000001 0.05)23.51% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 46.33% (0.176 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82% (0.07 0.07)57.18% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (0.055 0.05)78.04% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (-0.126 -0.13)22.92% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (-0.185 -0.19)56.68% (0.185 0.19)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.1% (0.32599999999999 0.33)39.9% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44% (0.299 0.3)76.56% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Palermo 50.09%
    Brescia 23.51%
    Draw 26.39%
PalermoDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 13.47% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.92% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.14% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 23.51%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Brescia
1-0
Palermo
Adorni (89')
Dickmann (12')

Di Francesco (45+3')
Mar 2, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 28
Brescia
4-2
Palermo
Borrelli (1', 41'), Paghera (30'), Di Francesco (45+1' og.)
Dickmann (34'), Besaggio (68'), Paghera (71')
Brunori (5' pen.), Di Francesco (13')
Marconi (12'), Corini (13'), Nedelcearu (78'), Ceccaroni (90+2')
Marconi (23')
Nov 8, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Palermo
1-0
Brescia
Coulibaly (27')
Mateju (46'), Soleri (73'), Corini (79'), Lund (88')
Corini (84')

Dickmann (1'), Cistana (17'), Fogliata (55'), van de Looi (79')
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Palermo
2-2
Brescia
Brunori (4'), Tutino (40')
Tutino (42'), Sala (66')
Rodriguez (54'), Aye (57')
Andrenacci (81'), Listkowski (83')
Dec 26, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 19
Brescia
1-1
Palermo
Galazzi (50')
Segre (52')