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Serie B | Gameweek 28
Mar 2, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
4 - 2
Palermo

Borrelli (1', 41'), Paghera (30'), Di Francesco (45+1' og.)
Dickmann (34'), Besaggio (68'), Paghera (71')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Brunori (5' pen.), Di Francesco (13')
Marconi (12'), Corini (13'), Nedelcearu (78'), Ceccaroni (90+2')
Marconi (23')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ascoli 1-1 Brescia
Tuesday, February 27 at 5.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Palermo 2-3 Ternana
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
BresciaDrawPalermo
32.34% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)27.47% (0.026 0.03)40.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 48.89% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.35% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)56.65% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)77.62% (0.080999999999989 0.08)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)32.47% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)69% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)27.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.87% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)63.13% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Brescia 32.34%
    Palermo 40.19%
    Draw 27.46%
BresciaDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.67%
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.34%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 11.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.19%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Palermo
1-0
Brescia
Coulibaly (27')
Mateju (46'), Soleri (73'), Corini (79'), Lund (88')
Corini (84')

Dickmann (1'), Cistana (17'), Fogliata (55'), van de Looi (79')
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Palermo
2-2
Brescia
Brunori (4'), Tutino (40')
Tutino (42'), Sala (66')
Rodriguez (54'), Aye (57')
Andrenacci (81'), Listkowski (83')
Dec 26, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 19
Brescia
1-1
Palermo
Galazzi (50')
Segre (52')
Feb 15, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 24
Palermo
1-1
Brescia
Nestorovski (79')
Falletti (19'), Rispoli (64')
Tremolada (90')
Torregrossa (8'), Ndoj (71'), Sabelli (82'), Tremolada (90')
Sep 25, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 5
Brescia
2-1
Palermo
Donnarumma (27', 29')
Torregrossa (40'), Ndoj (51'), Tonali (90')
Moreo (86')
Aleesami (77')