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Serie B | Gameweek 23
Jan 26, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
2 - 3
Catanzaro

Amoako Nuamah (5'), Bianchi (86')
Bisoli (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Iemmello (12'), Bonini (68', 90+7')
Coulibaly (19'), Pigliacelli (21')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Catanzaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brescia

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 2-2 Brescia
Saturday, January 18 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last Game: Catanzaro 0-0 Pisa
Sunday, January 19 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
BresciaDrawCatanzaro
40.12% (0.229 0.23)26.96% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)32.92% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Both teams to score 50.58% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (0.026000000000003 0.03)54.59% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (0.02 0.02)75.93% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (0.136 0.14)26.68% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.07% (0.178 0.18)61.93% (-0.175 -0.17)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (-0.126 -0.13)31.02% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (-0.151 -0.15)67.33% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Brescia 40.11%
    Catanzaro 32.92%
    Draw 26.95%
BresciaDrawCatanzaro
1-0 @ 10.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.92%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 16
Catanzaro
2-1
Brescia
Biasci (43'), Bonini (90+8')
Brighenti (80'), Compagnon (88')
Bjarnason (21')
Verreth (30'), Bjarnason (49'), Dickmann (56'), Lezzerini (90+7')
May 18, 2024 7.30pm
Catanzaro
4-2
Brescia
Iemmello (26', 120+2'), Donnarumma (90+6'), Brignola (105')
Scognamillo (60')
Galazzi (8'), Moncini (52')
Moncini (67'), Iemmello (90+4')
Mar 16, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 30
Brescia
1-1
Catanzaro
Borrelli (52')
Cistana (45'), Paghera (63')
Biasci (45+1')
Petriccione (72'), Brighenti (76')
Dec 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Catanzaro
2-3
Brescia
Ambrosino (10'), Vandeputte (13')
Stoppa (72')
Bjarnason (47'), Bisoli (58'), Bianchi (90+1')
Dickmann (50'), Olzer (90+2'), Bisoli (90+7')