Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 54.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.