Serie B | Gameweek 30
Mar 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Cremonese

Palermo
2 - 3
Cremonese

Gomes (55'), Brunori (72' pen.)
Ceccaroni (6'), Brunori (53'), Verre (73'), Diakite (78'), Vasic (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Azzi (74'), Valoti (86'), Collocolo (90+5')
Azzi (28'), Bianchetti (70')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Cremonese.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Palermo
Saturday, March 8 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Cremonese

All competitions
Last Game: Cremonese 4-0 Catanzaro
Saturday, March 8 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
PalermoDrawCremonese
30% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)27.63% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)42.36% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 47.56% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.07% (0.036000000000001 0.04)57.93% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.37% (0.027999999999999 0.03)78.63% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)34.83% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (-0.032 -0.03)71.56% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (0.061999999999998 0.06)27.02% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (0.082000000000001 0.08)62.37% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Palermo 30%
    Cremonese 42.36%
    Draw 27.62%
PalermoDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.41% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 30%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 12.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.06% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.52% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.36%

How you voted: Palermo vs Cremonese

Palermo
45.5%
Draw
27.3%
Cremonese
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Cremonese
0-1
Palermo

Vandeputte (13'), Barbieri (90+4'), Bianchetti (90+6')
Lochoshvili (90+6')
Insigne (76')
Blin (22'), Di Francesco (48'), Ceccaroni (80')
Feb 24, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 26
Cremonese
2-2
Palermo
Castagnetti (49'), Coda (50')
Castagnetti (13')
Sernicola (16')
Brunori (18' pen.), Ranocchia (45')
Di Mariano (22'), Ranocchia (61'), Aurelio (82')
Dec 26, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 19
Palermo
3-2
Cremonese
Nedelcearu (20'), Di Francesco (72'), Stulac (90+7')
Corini (7'), Graves (40'), Ceccaroni (90+4')
Ghiglione (7'), Castagnetti (32')
Majer (6'), Okereke (90+4')
Jan 26, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 21
Cremonese
2-0
Palermo
Arini (45'), Migliore (70')
Boultam (63')

Chochev (26'), Bellusci (33')
Aug 31, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 2
Palermo
2-2
Cremonese
Trajkovski (26'), Mazzotta (88')
Haas (63'), Bellusci (77'), Mazzotta (89')
Espeto (64'), Mogos (82')