Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.