Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Modena had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Modena
58.04% ( 0.06)	24.19% ( 0.05)	17.77% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 44.6% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.7% (

-0.31)

55.3% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.48% (

-0.25)

76.52% (

0.25)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.1% (

-0.09)

18.9% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.61% (

-0.16)

50.39% (

0.16)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.99% (

-0.31)

45.01% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.06% (

-0.25)

80.94% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 58.03%

Modena 17.77%

Draw 24.18%

Cremonese	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 14.17% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 58.03%	1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.18%	0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.55% Total : 17.77%